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地點： 無錫市
開展時間： 2025-03-29
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發改委：東北四省區玉米臨儲政策取消
2016-03-29
13:09:59
來源：中國農機網 作者：魏亞伯 閱讀量：24790
評論
如果說2015年的玉米是燙手的話，那么現在就是灼心。
據3月25日內蒙古新聞聯播報道，內蒙古及東北三省玉米臨時收儲制度將取消。這一備受爭議的消息直到3月28日由國家發改委召開的推進玉米收儲制度改革媒體通氣會上，終得到證實——發改委經貿司副司長劉小南在會上表示，2016年，在東北三省和內蒙古自治區將玉米臨時收儲政策調整為“市場化收購”加“補貼”的新機制。也就是說，玉米臨時收儲政策取消了！
底線何在
自2007年開始，國家為了穩定玉米市場價格，出臺玉米臨時收儲政策，多年來，無論是玉米臨儲價格還是玉米市場價格，都一路上揚。四年前，我國玉米價格開始于玉米價格倒掛，2015年隨著財政壓力的不斷加大，玉米臨儲價格被以每斤1.12元下調至每斤1元，之后玉米市場價格開始跳水，至今未能探底。
這里值得一提的是，國家糧食局在2015年發布的《關于2015年東北地區國家臨時存儲玉米收購有關問題的通知》中明確指出，2015年國家臨時存儲玉米收購期限為2015年11月1日至2016年4月30日，而2016年玉米收儲新政也將在秋后玉米上市后開始，目前距東北玉米收儲后時限還有一個月。
如今隨著臨儲政策的取消，玉米價格的底線已經擺明，就是玉米進口價格——每噸1500元左右。這里值得說明的是，國內玉米囤積量巨大，或許會跌破這一價格，但隨著市場結構的調整，合理價格應該在這一數字左右，正式與價格接軌。
新政解讀
據介紹，此次玉米收儲制度改革將以市場定價、價補分離和保障農民合理收益為原則推進。
市場定價很明確，既市場主導價格，而按照大豆與棉花的先例來講，玉米種植補貼將直接發放到玉米實際種植者手中。那么問題來了，補貼多少才能既保護農民收益又促進玉米種植改革呢？
目前并沒有正式發布數據，但據消息人士透露，目前玉米規模化種植成本每斤約1元，如果當前進口玉米價格按照1500元每噸計算，每斤為0.75元，國家至少每斤要補貼0.75元才能保證農民不虧本，但顯然0.75元太低了，因為這一計算是按照低成本得出的粗略計算，實際的平均種植成本明顯要高出這一數字。
就目前得到的消息來講，今年秋后玉米上市后，各市場主體可按照市場價格對玉米進行收購，引人擔憂的是，在玉米價格沒有探底之前，恐怕沒有多少人會去市場收購上市的玉米，農民賣糧難或將出現。為了防止大范圍的賣糧難風險出現，政府將安排符合條件的企業入市托底收購。托底收購與臨儲政策不同的是，這種托底收購政府是后入市，當真正發生農民賣糧難的時候，政府才發揮托底收購的作用。
農民利益
終于說到讓人揪心的話題。2015年，相信玉米種植戶的損失已經不小了，而2016年，本就脆弱的農村經濟再經不起大的損失。除了前面說到的政府托底收購和種糧補貼之外，如何采取措施進一步保護農民利益呢？
加大政策知曉力度。在去年玉米臨儲價格下調后，黑龍江等地的農戶不愿出售手中的玉米，他們認為國家收不夠糧食，肯定會上調收購價格，可他們不知道的是，國家的倉庫已經沒有地方再裝玉米了！在今年玉米臨儲政策取消后，在春耕之際，應當盡快讓農民知曉政策的變化以及市場的走向，讓農戶懸崖勒馬減少種植面積，改種其他作物。很不幸，一些市場專業機構對黑龍江農戶進行的電話調查顯示，很多農戶依舊選擇種玉米而不是種植政府鼓勵的大豆等作物。可見政策的落實力度遠遠不夠！
加快推進玉米種植結構調整。2015年，農業部就已經發出通知規劃減少玉米種植結構，重點在鐮刀灣地區。2016年，農業部的計劃是在全國減少玉米種植面積1000萬畝（全國總的玉米種植面積在5.5億畝上下）以上，各地方尤其是玉米種植大省等矛盾突出的地區，應該加大力度推進這一工作，確保完成整體任務，化解矛盾，從而減少農民損失。
小麥稻谷
玉米這臨頭一刀不挨也得挨了，而小麥稻米的改革也將盡快推進。中央農村工作領導小組副組長兼辦公室主任陳錫文在日前接手媒體采訪時表示，在玉米臨儲改革之后，稻谷和小麥的臨儲改革也會跟進推進。陳錫文判斷，這個緩沖期“多就是一年”。在今年把玉米改革先推行出去，既是為了恢復玉米的供求平衡，也是為進一步推進稻谷和小麥的改革探索重要經驗。
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