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元旦春節(jié)期間,我國(guó)“米袋子”“菜籃子”供應(yīng)情況如何?

2020-12-25 11:25:56 來(lái)源:農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng)整理發(fā)布 閱讀量:26082 評(píng)論

  【農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng) 市場(chǎng)行情】 12月24日,農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部新聞辦公室舉行新聞發(fā)布會(huì),介紹當(dāng)前及元旦春節(jié)期間我國(guó)糧食和主要農(nóng)產(chǎn)品市場(chǎng)形勢(shì)、生產(chǎn)形勢(shì),并回答記者提問(wèn)。
 
  每到元旦春節(jié)這樣的傳統(tǒng)消費(fèi)旺季,“米袋子”“菜籃子”備受關(guān)注,關(guān)于在此期間二者的供應(yīng)情況,農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部市場(chǎng)與信息化司司長(zhǎng)唐珂表示,“米袋子”穩(wěn)不穩(wěn),主要看稻谷、小麥兩個(gè)口糧品種的生產(chǎn)供給足不足。
 
  由于稻谷、小麥連續(xù)多年豐產(chǎn)、庫(kù)存充裕,近年來(lái)我國(guó)糧價(jià)持續(xù)低位運(yùn)行,今年受疫情、災(zāi)情及資本炒作等影響,部分品種價(jià)格呈階段性恢復(fù)上漲走勢(shì),但總體仍然保持基本穩(wěn)定。分品種來(lái)看:稻米的價(jià)格“秈強(qiáng)粳弱”。隨著秋糧豐收上市,稻谷糧源供給充足,南方的秈稻、秈米價(jià)格穩(wěn)中偏強(qiáng),北方的梗稻、梗米相對(duì)偏弱。11月份,晚秈稻收購(gòu)均價(jià)是1.35元,環(huán)比漲1.5%;梗稻是1.39元,環(huán)比跌0.7%;晚秈米批發(fā)均價(jià)每斤2.10元,環(huán)比持平。梗米是每斤2.10元,環(huán)比跌0.5%,這是稻米的價(jià)格。從小麥的價(jià)格來(lái)看,是小幅上漲后企穩(wěn)。今年夏收小麥上市后,價(jià)格在玉米價(jià)格上漲帶動(dòng)下有所上漲,近期隨著競(jìng)拍政策性糧源到貨,市場(chǎng)供給充裕,普通麥價(jià)格保持穩(wěn)定,優(yōu)質(zhì)麥有所走強(qiáng)。11月份,鄭州糧食批發(fā)市場(chǎng)普通麥每斤1.23元,環(huán)比持平;優(yōu)質(zhì)麥每斤1.46元,環(huán)比漲4.5%。今年我國(guó)小麥、稻谷產(chǎn)量均穩(wěn)中有增,庫(kù)存依然處于歷史高位,預(yù)計(jì)后期口糧總體價(jià)格將繼續(xù)以穩(wěn)為主。
 
  “菜籃子”是與民生息息相關(guān)的,今年秋冬季以來(lái),隨著豬肉市場(chǎng)供給持續(xù)改善,價(jià)格連續(xù)三個(gè)月回落,蔬菜生產(chǎn)保持穩(wěn)定,價(jià)格季節(jié)性回落,“菜籃子”產(chǎn)品供給形勢(shì)總體上是好于去年同期的,價(jià)格也呈穩(wěn)中有跌的走勢(shì)。據(jù)國(guó)家統(tǒng)計(jì)局統(tǒng)計(jì),11月份CPI環(huán)比下降0.6%,其中主要是肉、蛋、菜等食品價(jià)格下跌帶動(dòng)的。從元旦春節(jié)形勢(shì)看,主要“菜籃子”品種產(chǎn)能和供給是有保障的,如果不發(fā)生大范圍低溫雨雪災(zāi)害天氣,預(yù)計(jì)價(jià)格大幅波動(dòng)上漲的可能性不大。分品種來(lái)看,豬肉價(jià)格小幅上漲后有望趨穩(wěn)。11月份,能繁母豬存欄同比已連續(xù)6個(gè)月增長(zhǎng),生豬存欄同比已連續(xù)5個(gè)月增長(zhǎng),預(yù)計(jì)元旦春節(jié)期間豬肉供應(yīng)量比上年同期明顯增加,豬肉價(jià)格在春節(jié)前受需求拉動(dòng)可能小幅震蕩上升,春節(jié)后企穩(wěn)回落。家禽存欄產(chǎn)能處于歷年較高的水平,禽肉、禽蛋市場(chǎng)供給有保障,價(jià)格不會(huì)出現(xiàn)明顯上漲,仍然低于去年同期水平。肉牛、肉羊三季度末存欄環(huán)比均有所增加,年末出欄也將持續(xù)增加,但進(jìn)口受疫情影響不確定性較大,受元旦、春節(jié)消費(fèi)旺季影響,牛羊肉價(jià)格呈穩(wěn)中有漲走勢(shì)。水產(chǎn)養(yǎng)殖產(chǎn)品上市加快,預(yù)計(jì)水產(chǎn)品價(jià)格穩(wěn)中偏弱。今年蔬菜種植戶(hù)生產(chǎn)積極性高,冬春蔬菜整體供給能力穩(wěn)中有升,菜價(jià)將按常年規(guī)律運(yùn)行。水果總體豐產(chǎn),市場(chǎng)供給充足,價(jià)格受需求拉動(dòng)將繼續(xù)季節(jié)性小幅上漲。下一步,農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部將采取針對(duì)性措施,做好節(jié)日期間重要農(nóng)產(chǎn)品生產(chǎn)供應(yīng)工作,防止因突發(fā)疫情或?yàn)?zāi)難性天氣導(dǎo)致的產(chǎn)銷(xiāo)銜接不暢問(wèn)題,切實(shí)保障城鄉(xiāng)居民“菜籃子”產(chǎn)品需求。
 

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