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2月份AMI指數為59.1%,市場正走在復蘇的路上

2025-03-07 16:24:56 來源:中國農機流通協會 閱讀量:11060 評論

  中國農業機械流通協會發布的2025年2月份中國農機市場景氣指數(AMI)為59.1%,環比提升17.6個百分點,同比提升14.0個百分點。從環比看,6個一級指數全部呈上升趨勢。其中,人氣指數漲幅最大,環比大幅提升29個百分點;從同比看,6個一級指數也全部呈上升趨勢,其中效益指數增幅最大,為26.1個百分點。本月6個一級指數全部挺進景氣區間,其中經理人信心指數超70%。
 
  中國農機流通協會信息咨詢部主任張文博認為:上個月,我們準確的預測到了2月份AMI環比提升,同比也大概率提升的走勢特征,2月份 AMI環比提升17.6個百分點,同比提升14.0個百分點,以59.1%的景氣度挺進景氣區間。從近三年指數的走勢看,雖然本月的景氣度不及2023年同期,但上升的勢頭意味著市場正走在復蘇的路上。
 
  2月份,AMI表現出以下幾個突出特征。其一,提質增效,效益指數大幅攀升;其二,人氣上升,交易趨于活躍;其三,細分市場全線飄紅,所監測的拖拉機指數、耕整地機械指數、種植機械指數、田間管理機械指數和收獲機械指數5個二級指數環比、同比全部上漲,除收獲機械指數還停留在不景氣區間外,其余四個二級指數全部挺進景氣區間。2月份所監測的10個三級指數中,大中拖、旋耕機、免耕播種機、插秧機、遙控飛行噴霧機、自走履帶式谷物聯合收割機(全喂入)7個三級指數挺進景氣區間,而深松機、自走輪式谷物聯合收割機、玉米收獲機則仍停留在不景氣區間。
 
  當前,全球經濟復蘇預期不足,國際局勢復雜化。但從國內經濟基本面看,“穩”的態勢鞏固延續。預計3月份,環比、同比有望實現雙增,AMI仍停留在景氣區間并保持較高景氣度。一、二、三級指數仍然會出現冷熱不均的現象。
 
  下載附件,查看報告全文,包括所有一級、二級、三級指數運行情況
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